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Betting Tips and DFS Picks for Monday’s NBA Playoff Games

Posted on May 5, 2026

Two exciting Game 1 matchups headline Monday night in the 2026 NBA playoffs as the second round begins. In the East, the rested New York Knicks host the Philadelphia 76ers, while out West the San Antonio Spurs welcome the Minnesota Timberwolves. Both home teams enter as clear favorites, setting up opportunities for smart betting angles and daily fantasy lineups.

The Knicks come in after a dominant first-round closeout and hold a 7.5-point spread advantage over the 76ers, with the total set at 213.5. Joel Embiid is probable despite recent knee concerns, but his effectiveness will be closely watched less than 48 hours after a tough Game 7. For the Knicks, OG Anunoby has been a standout scorer in the playoffs, averaging over 24 points in his last four games and hitting 19 and 23 points in his two matchups against Philadelphia this year. He makes a strong bet at over 17.5 points.

In the West, the Spurs are 11.5-point favorites against the Timberwolves with a 218.5 total. Victor Wembanyama has historically dominated matchups against Rudy Gobert, averaging 34 points across his last three games against Minnesota, including a 39-point outburst. His perimeter scoring and versatility create major matchup problems, making Wembanyama over 27.5 points a sharp play.

Top DFS Values Tonight • High-Salary Tier ($8,100+): Victor Wembanyama ($10,800) – Averaged over 60 fantasy points in recent games with strong rebounding and blocks. Joel Embiid ($8,800) remains a massive upside play if healthy. • Mid-Salary Tier ($6,100-$8,000): De’Aaron Fox ($6,900) steps up as a veteran leader for San Antonio. OG Anunoby ($6,800) stays hot with consistent production. • Value Tier ($3,500-$6,000): Terrence Shannon Jr. ($4,600) could see expanded minutes with several Timberwolves questionable, delivering solid production in recent action.

Both games project for competitive scoring, with the model leaning toward the Over in several simulations. Focus lineups on high-usage stars like Wembanyama and Brunson while mixing in value options for balance. Stream live action and monitor final injury updates before locking in picks. These early series games often deliver strong performances from home favorites looking to set the tone.

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